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CNBC
May 2, 2014 1:00pm EDT
. >>> now, despite merkel's calls for unity on russia, germany may have some problem with harsher sanctions. 36% of germany's natural gascon assumption comes from russia. 39% of their oil comes from russia. talk about going over a well, christopher chivas is a senior political analyst with the rand corporation. good to see you. will russia use this attack on pro-russian forces, separatists, whoever they are, inside ukraine as the provocation they were really looking for to attack and take territory from ukraine. >> i wouldn't be surprised at all, tyler, if that's what's going on. this is a strategy we have seen from russia before. the strategy is basically to aid and abet violence and turmoil and use it as an excuse for some kind of intervention. they probably will claim they're doing it on humanitarian grounds, but the reality will be that the large number of forces now poised on the border of eastern ukraine will move from russia into eastern ukraine. >> what is the end game here? what do you think will happen? will ukraine be split into two countries or what? >> it's very different to pr
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